Round of 32MenOctober 6, 2026
Montiel / Santigosa v Bautista / Bergamini
Pre-match odds
Montiel / Santigosa
45%
Avg Elo 1714
Bautista / Bergamini
55%
Avg Elo 1731
Elo gap 17
Montiel / Santigosa won a near coin flip (45%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Montiel / SantigosaBautista / Bergamini
- Points won 48%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 59%
- 2nd-serve points won 56%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 22%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 12
52%
62%
41%
63%
50%
41%
44%
43%
6
12
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 45%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 27%
- 1st-serve points won 65%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 27%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 6
55%
73%
38%
73%
75%
35%
50%
25%
5
6
Set 2
- Points won 49%
- Points won on serve 55%
- Points won on return 46%
- 1st-serve points won 54%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 75%
- Break points converted 25%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 6
51%
54%
45%
57%
25%
46%
33%
67%
6
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.