The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 6, 2026

Garrido / De Pascual v Ruiz / Garcia

Court 201:02

Pre-match odds

Garrido / De Pascual

44%

Avg Elo 1655

Ruiz / Garcia

56%

Avg Elo 1675

Elo gap 20

Garrido / De Pascual won as slight underdogs (44%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Garrido / De PascualRuiz / Garcia

63%
Points won
37%
72%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
28%
72%
1st-serve points won
48%
71%
2nd-serve points won
33%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
29%
80%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
8
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

68%
Points won
32%
72%
Points won on serve
37%
63%
Points won on return
28%
68%
1st-serve points won
39%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
61%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
2
4
Service games
3

Set 2

58%
Points won
42%
73%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
27%
78%
1st-serve points won
54%
50%
2nd-serve points won
50%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
22%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
67%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.