The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 8, 2026

Tapia / Coello v Diestro / Sintes

Center Court00:55

Pre-match odds

Tapia / Coello

99%

Avg Elo 2109

Diestro / Sintes

1%

Avg Elo 1661

Elo gap 449

Tapia / Coello delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Tapia / CoelloDiestro / Sintes

56%
Points won
44%
63%
Points won on serve
51%
49%
Points won on return
37%
60%
1st-serve points won
50%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
33%
7
Longest run of points
4
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

56%
Points won
44%
61%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
39%
58%
1st-serve points won
50%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Set 2

57%
Points won
43%
65%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
35%
62%
1st-serve points won
50%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.