The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 8, 2026

Solano / Pereyra v Alfonso / Libaak

Court 201:27

Pre-match odds

Solano / Pereyra

25%

Avg Elo 1689

Alfonso / Libaak

75%

Avg Elo 1785

Elo gap 96

Alfonso / Libaak delivered as 75% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Solano / PereyraAlfonso / Libaak

44%
Points won
56%
61%
Points won on serve
73%
27%
Points won on return
39%
64%
1st-serve points won
75%
25%
2nd-serve points won
62%
25%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
38%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
0%
Break points converted
29%
5
Longest run of points
9
9
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

43%
Points won
57%
58%
Points won on serve
73%
27%
Points won on return
42%
62%
1st-serve points won
73%
0%
2nd-serve points won
75%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
20%
4
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
5

Set 2

46%
Points won
54%
64%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
36%
65%
1st-serve points won
76%
50%
2nd-serve points won
50%
24%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
9
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.