Round of 16MenOctober 8, 2026
Tello / Arce v Geens / Moragues
Pre-match odds
Tello / Arce
70%
Avg Elo 1794
Geens / Moragues
30%
Avg Elo 1722
Elo gap 72
Tello / Arce delivered as 70% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Tello / ArceGeens / Moragues
- Points won 45%
- Points won on serve 55%
- Points won on return 29%
- 1st-serve points won 54%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 31%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 17%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 11
55%
71%
45%
69%
100%
46%
0%
50%
7
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 61%
- Points won on return 20%
- 1st-serve points won 59%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 21%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 6
56%
80%
39%
79%
100%
41%
0%
50%
5
6
Set 2
- Points won 46%
- Points won on serve 50%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 50%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 42%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 17%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 5
54%
62%
50%
58%
100%
50%
0%
50%
7
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.