The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 8, 2026

Jofre / Esbri v Lebron / Augsburger

Center Court01:52

Pre-match odds

Jofre / Esbri

22%

Avg Elo 1755

Lebron / Augsburger

78%

Avg Elo 1863

Elo gap 109

Lebron / Augsburger delivered as 78% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Jofre / EsbriLebron / Augsburger

47%
Points won
53%
55%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
45%
54%
1st-serve points won
60%
67%
2nd-serve points won
80%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
46%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
60%
Break points converted
31%
4
Longest run of points
6
14
Service games
13
Stats by set

Set 1

57%
Points won
43%
69%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
31%
69%
1st-serve points won
56%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
31%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 2

39%
Points won
61%
48%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
52%
46%
1st-serve points won
71%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
54%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
50%
3
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
5

Set 3

45%
Points won
55%
47%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
53%
47%
1st-serve points won
52%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
53%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
50%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.