Round of 16MenOctober 8, 2026
Stupaczuk / Sanz v Martinez / Hernandez
Pre-match odds
Stupaczuk / Sanz
90%
Avg Elo 1887
Martinez / Hernandez
10%
Avg Elo 1692
Elo gap 195
Stupaczuk / Sanz delivered as 90% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Stupaczuk / SanzMartinez / Hernandez
- Points won 41%
- Points won on serve 47%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 49%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 34%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 9
59%
65%
53%
66%
0%
51%
67%
56%
8
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 41%
- Points won on serve 44%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 47%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 36%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
59%
64%
56%
64%
0%
53%
100%
50%
8
4
Set 2
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 52%
- Points won on return 34%
- 1st-serve points won 53%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 20%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
58%
66%
48%
68%
0%
47%
50%
67%
4
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.