Round of 16MenOctober 8, 2026
Castaño / Hernandez v Navarro / Di Nenno
Pre-match odds
Castaño / Hernandez
8%
Avg Elo 1657
Navarro / Di Nenno
92%
Avg Elo 1866
Elo gap 209
Navarro / Di Nenno delivered as 92% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Castaño / HernandezNavarro / Di Nenno
- Points won 60%
- Points won on serve 63%
- Points won on return 57%
- 1st-serve points won 65%
- 2nd-serve points won 43%
- Points won returning 1st serve 58%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 83%
- Longest run of points 10
- Service games 8
40%
43%
37%
42%
50%
35%
57%
25%
3
7
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 67%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 65%
- 1st-serve points won 65%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 69%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 3
33%
35%
32%
31%
50%
35%
0%
0%
2
3
Set 2
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 60%
- Points won on return 50%
- 1st-serve points won 66%
- 2nd-serve points won 20%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 5
44%
50%
40%
50%
50%
34%
80%
25%
3
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.