Round of 16MenOctober 8, 2026
Montiel / Santigosa v Sanchez / Gutierrez
Pre-match odds
Montiel / Santigosa
47%
Avg Elo 1732
Sanchez / Gutierrez
53%
Avg Elo 1744
Elo gap 12
Sanchez / Gutierrez won a near coin flip (53%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Montiel / SantigosaSanchez / Gutierrez
- Points won 61%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 57%
- 1st-serve points won 70%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 58%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 71%
- Longest run of points 9
- Service games 8
39%
43%
33%
42%
50%
30%
100%
17%
4
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 62%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 57%
- 1st-serve points won 71%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 60%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 9
- Service games 4
38%
43%
33%
40%
67%
29%
100%
0%
3
4
Set 2
- Points won 60%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 57%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 57%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 57%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
40%
43%
33%
43%
43%
33%
0%
100%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.


