The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 8, 2026

Garrido / De Pascual v Galan / Chingotto

Center Court01:44

Pre-match odds

Garrido / De Pascual

2%

Avg Elo 1686

Galan / Chingotto

98%

Avg Elo 2021

Elo gap 335

Galan / Chingotto delivered as 98% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Garrido / De PascualGalan / Chingotto

46%
Points won
54%
66%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
34%
65%
1st-serve points won
72%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
28%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
25%
6
Longest run of points
7
14
Service games
15
Stats by set

Set 1

58%
Points won
42%
83%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
17%
83%
1st-serve points won
59%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
17%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Set 2

29%
Points won
71%
42%
Points won on serve
84%
16%
Points won on return
58%
39%
1st-serve points won
83%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
17%
Points won returning 1st serve
61%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
40%
3
Longest run of points
7
3
Service games
4

Set 3

48%
Points won
52%
68%
Points won on serve
75%
25%
Points won on return
32%
66%
1st-serve points won
74%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
26%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
14%
5
Longest run of points
7
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.