QuarterfinalMenOctober 9, 2026
Tapia / Coello v Alfonso / Libaak
Pre-match odds
Tapia / Coello
97%
Avg Elo 2109
Alfonso / Libaak
3%
Avg Elo 1796
Elo gap 313
Tapia / Coello delivered as 97% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Tapia / CoelloAlfonso / Libaak
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 58%
- Points won on return 25%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 25%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 10
57%
75%
42%
75%
75%
43%
33%
43%
8
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 37%
- Points won on serve 55%
- Points won on return 19%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 20%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
63%
81%
45%
80%
100%
43%
100%
100%
8
4
Set 2
- Points won 46%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 29%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 28%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 6
54%
71%
41%
72%
67%
43%
0%
20%
5
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.