QuarterfinalMenOctober 9, 2026
Tello / Arce v Lebron / Augsburger
Pre-match odds
Tello / Arce
33%
Avg Elo 1807
Lebron / Augsburger
67%
Avg Elo 1870
Elo gap 63
Lebron / Augsburger delivered as 67% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Tello / ArceLebron / Augsburger
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 79%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 80%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 39%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 43%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 9
42%
59%
21%
61%
33%
20%
33%
0%
5
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 76%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 78%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
44%
58%
24%
62%
0%
22%
33%
0%
4
5
Set 2
- Points won 61%
- Points won on serve 81%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 81%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
39%
61%
19%
59%
100%
19%
0%
0%
5
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.