QuarterfinalMenOctober 9, 2026
Stupaczuk / Sanz v Navarro / Di Nenno
Pre-match odds
Stupaczuk / Sanz
56%
Avg Elo 1891
Navarro / Di Nenno
44%
Avg Elo 1871
Elo gap 20
Stupaczuk / Sanz delivered as 56% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Stupaczuk / SanzNavarro / Di Nenno
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 51%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 54%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 9
57%
65%
49%
65%
0%
46%
100%
50%
5
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 43%
- Points won on return 43%
- 1st-serve points won 46%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
57%
57%
57%
57%
0%
54%
100%
50%
5
4
Set 2
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 26%
- 1st-serve points won 62%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 26%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
57%
74%
41%
74%
0%
38%
100%
50%
4
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.