The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenOctober 9, 2026

Sanchez / Gutierrez v Galan / Chingotto

Center Court01:02

Pre-match odds

Sanchez / Gutierrez

5%

Avg Elo 1768

Galan / Chingotto

95%

Avg Elo 2022

Elo gap 254

Galan / Chingotto delivered as 95% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Sanchez / GutierrezGalan / Chingotto

40%
Points won
60%
52%
Points won on serve
76%
24%
Points won on return
48%
52%
1st-serve points won
74%
50%
2nd-serve points won
86%
26%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
14%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
36%
4
Longest run of points
11
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

43%
Points won
57%
61%
Points won on serve
78%
22%
Points won on return
39%
59%
1st-serve points won
77%
100%
2nd-serve points won
80%
23%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
17%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 2

35%
Points won
65%
40%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
60%
42%
1st-serve points won
69%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
58%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
60%
3
Longest run of points
11
4
Service games
3

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.