SemifinalMenOctober 10, 2026
Stupaczuk / Sanz v Galan / Chingotto
Pre-match odds
UpsetStupaczuk / Sanz
21%
Avg Elo 1912
Galan / Chingotto
79%
Avg Elo 2025
Elo gap 113
Stupaczuk / Sanz won with a 21% chance — about 1 in 5.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Stupaczuk / SanzGalan / Chingotto
- Points won 48%
- Points won on serve 56%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 58%
- 2nd-serve points won 44%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 30%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 11
52%
62%
44%
63%
50%
42%
56%
40%
7
11
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 50%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 69%
- 2nd-serve points won 20%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 14%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 6
50%
62%
36%
62%
50%
31%
80%
33%
6
6
Set 2
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 49%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 46%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 36%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 5
56%
62%
51%
64%
50%
54%
25%
43%
7
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.