FinalMenOctober 11, 2026
Tapia / Coello v Stupaczuk / Sanz
Pre-match odds
Tapia / Coello
88%
Avg Elo 2113
Stupaczuk / Sanz
12%
Avg Elo 1938
Elo gap 176
Tapia / Coello delivered as 88% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Tapia / CoelloStupaczuk / Sanz
- Points won 45%
- Points won on serve 57%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 54%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 10
55%
67%
43%
67%
67%
46%
0%
44%
5
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 41%
- Points won on serve 42%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 40%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 39%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 20%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
59%
60%
58%
61%
50%
60%
0%
50%
5
4
Set 2
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 66%
- Points won on return 27%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 28%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
53%
73%
34%
72%
100%
37%
0%
33%
5
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.