The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenOctober 7, 2026

Orsi / Llaguno v Borrero / Navarro

Court 202:18

Pre-match odds

Orsi / Llaguno

77%

Avg Elo 1708

Borrero / Navarro

23%

Avg Elo 1603

Elo gap 105

Orsi / Llaguno delivered as 77% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Orsi / LlagunoBorrero / Navarro

50%
Points won
50%
62%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
38%
63%
1st-serve points won
62%
40%
2nd-serve points won
44%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
56%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
50%
Break points converted
30%
6
Longest run of points
7
13
Service games
15
Stats by set

Set 1

39%
Points won
61%
59%
Points won on serve
76%
24%
Points won on return
41%
62%
1st-serve points won
81%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
19%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
5

Set 2

49%
Points won
51%
60%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
40%
63%
1st-serve points won
59%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
67%
Break points converted
25%
5
Longest run of points
7
6
Service games
6

Set 3

65%
Points won
35%
70%
Points won on serve
39%
61%
Points won on return
30%
67%
1st-serve points won
42%
100%
2nd-serve points won
25%
58%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
60%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.