The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenOctober 7, 2026

Hering / Plümer v Martinez / Martinez

Center Court01:03

Pre-match odds

Hering / Plümer

11%

Avg Elo 1415

Martinez / Martinez

89%

Avg Elo 1597

Elo gap 182

Martinez / Martinez delivered as 89% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Hering / PlümerMartinez / Martinez

42%
Points won
58%
52%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
48%
49%
1st-serve points won
73%
83%
2nd-serve points won
80%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
51%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
0%
Break points converted
50%
3
Longest run of points
7
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

43%
Points won
57%
53%
Points won on serve
73%
27%
Points won on return
47%
52%
1st-serve points won
72%
67%
2nd-serve points won
75%
28%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
0%
Break points converted
33%
3
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
4

Set 2

40%
Points won
60%
52%
Points won on serve
75%
25%
Points won on return
48%
46%
1st-serve points won
74%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
26%
Points won returning 1st serve
54%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
100%
2
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.