The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenOctober 7, 2026

Velasco / Eugenio v Collombon / Sharifova

Pre-match odds

Velasco / Eugenio

71%

Avg Elo 1698

Collombon / Sharifova

29%

Avg Elo 1620

Elo gap 79

Velasco / Eugenio delivered as 71% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Velasco / EugenioCollombon / Sharifova

53%
Points won
47%
62%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
38%
62%
1st-serve points won
54%
60%
2nd-serve points won
67%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
50%
Break points converted
44%
8
Longest run of points
4
14
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

48%
Points won
52%
50%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
50%
53%
1st-serve points won
51%
25%
2nd-serve points won
100%
49%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
33%
Break points converted
38%
7
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Set 2

51%
Points won
49%
67%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
33%
65%
1st-serve points won
63%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Set 3

67%
Points won
33%
72%
Points won on serve
38%
62%
Points won on return
28%
73%
1st-serve points won
41%
67%
2nd-serve points won
0%
59%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
75%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.