The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenOctober 7, 2026

Escacena / Aguilar v Baldi / Aima

Court 202:08

Pre-match odds

Escacena / Aguilar

90%

Avg Elo 1636

Baldi / Aima

10%

Avg Elo 1449

Elo gap 187

Escacena / Aguilar delivered as 90% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Escacena / AguilarBaldi / Aima

52%
Points won
48%
50%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
50%
48%
1st-serve points won
45%
57%
2nd-serve points won
44%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
52%
56%
Points won returning 2nd serve
43%
47%
Break points converted
50%
10
Longest run of points
7
14
Service games
13
Stats by set

Set 1

51%
Points won
49%
53%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
47%
62%
1st-serve points won
50%
17%
2nd-serve points won
50%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
83%
33%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
7
5
Service games
5

Set 2

47%
Points won
53%
44%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
56%
38%
1st-serve points won
50%
71%
2nd-serve points won
50%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
62%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
29%
43%
Break points converted
44%
4
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Set 3

64%
Points won
36%
56%
Points won on serve
20%
80%
Points won on return
44%
47%
1st-serve points won
21%
75%
2nd-serve points won
0%
79%
Points won returning 1st serve
53%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
100%
Break points converted
33%
10
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
3

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.