Round of 32WomenOctober 7, 2026
Marchetti / Arruabarrena v Rufo / Iglesias
Pre-match odds
Marchetti / Arruabarrena
13%
Avg Elo 1564
Rufo / Iglesias
87%
Avg Elo 1731
Elo gap 167
Rufo / Iglesias delivered as 87% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Marchetti / ArruabarrenaRufo / Iglesias
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 51%
- 1st-serve points won 60%
- 2nd-serve points won 71%
- Points won returning 1st serve 53%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 38%
- Break points converted 71%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 9
44%
49%
38%
47%
62%
40%
29%
67%
6
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 65%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 62%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 65%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 4
35%
38%
32%
35%
50%
33%
0%
100%
4
4
Set 2
- Points won 50%
- Points won on serve 58%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 56%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 45%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
50%
58%
42%
55%
75%
44%
33%
50%
6
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.