Round of 32WomenOctober 7, 2026
Castello / Rodriguez v Dominguez / Bellver
Pre-match odds
95%
Avg Elo 1721
5%
Avg Elo 1469
Elo gap 252
Castello / Rodriguez delivered as 95% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Castello / RodriguezDominguez / Bellver
- Points won 39%
- Points won on serve 43%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 41%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 44%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 43%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
Set 2
- Points won 33%
- Points won on serve 41%
- Points won on return 20%
- 1st-serve points won 38%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 27%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.