Round of 32WomenOctober 7, 2026
Manquillo / Sainz v Talavan / Saiz
Pre-match odds
Manquillo / Sainz
43%
Avg Elo 1634
Talavan / Saiz
57%
Avg Elo 1658
Elo gap 24
Talavan / Saiz delivered as 57% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Manquillo / SainzTalavan / Saiz
- Points won 59%
- Points won on serve 72%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 76%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 46%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 62%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 8
41%
52%
28%
54%
38%
24%
100%
0%
5
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 62%
- Points won on serve 75%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 82%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
38%
52%
25%
57%
0%
18%
100%
0%
5
4
Set 2
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 70%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 70%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 48%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 29%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
43%
52%
30%
52%
50%
30%
0%
0%
3
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.