Round of 16WomenOctober 8, 2026
Brea / Triay v Montes / Barrera
Pre-match odds
Brea / Triay
98%
Avg Elo 2010
Montes / Barrera
2%
Avg Elo 1672
Elo gap 338
Brea / Triay delivered as 98% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Brea / TriayMontes / Barrera
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 49%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 49%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 11%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 9
58%
67%
51%
63%
89%
51%
50%
33%
8
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 45%
- Points won on serve 51%
- Points won on return 37%
- 1st-serve points won 51%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 17%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 6
55%
63%
49%
59%
83%
49%
50%
22%
8
6
Set 2
- Points won 35%
- Points won on serve 44%
- Points won on return 28%
- 1st-serve points won 44%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 3
65%
72%
56%
68%
100%
56%
0%
67%
5
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.