Round of 16WomenOctober 8, 2026
Orsi / Llaguno v Jensen / Canovas
Pre-match odds
Orsi / Llaguno
31%
Avg Elo 1716
Jensen / Canovas
69%
Avg Elo 1786
Elo gap 71
Jensen / Canovas delivered as 69% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Orsi / LlagunoJensen / Canovas
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 60%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 48%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 57%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 10
44%
52%
38%
52%
50%
40%
0%
29%
6
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 44%
- 1st-serve points won 56%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 48%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
48%
56%
41%
52%
100%
44%
0%
29%
6
6
Set 2
- Points won 66%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 62%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
34%
38%
32%
50%
0%
33%
0%
0%
5
3
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.