The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenOctober 8, 2026

Salazar / Osoro v Martinez / Martinez

Winner
7657
Court 203:28

Pre-match odds

Salazar / Osoro

91%

Avg Elo 1802

Martinez / Martinez

9%

Avg Elo 1602

Elo gap 200

Salazar / Osoro delivered as 91% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Salazar / OsoroMartinez / Martinez

50%
Points won
50%
53%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
47%
51%
1st-serve points won
55%
67%
2nd-serve points won
18%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
49%
82%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
47%
Break points converted
33%
5
Longest run of points
6
18
Service games
18
Stats by set

Set 1

50%
Points won
50%
53%
Points won on serve
53%
47%
Points won on return
47%
48%
1st-serve points won
59%
86%
2nd-serve points won
0%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
52%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
14%
43%
Break points converted
14%
4
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 2

49%
Points won
51%
48%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
52%
46%
1st-serve points won
52%
60%
2nd-serve points won
25%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
54%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
50%
Break points converted
75%
4
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 3

52%
Points won
48%
57%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
43%
59%
1st-serve points won
55%
50%
2nd-serve points won
33%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
50%
Break points converted
67%
5
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.