Round of 16WomenOctober 8, 2026
Velasco / Eugenio v Ustero / Sanchez
Pre-match odds
Velasco / Eugenio
2%
Avg Elo 1710
Ustero / Sanchez
98%
Avg Elo 2061
Elo gap 351
Ustero / Sanchez delivered as 98% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Velasco / EugenioUstero / Sanchez
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 62%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 44%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 36%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 13
- Double faults 0
45%
52%
36%
56%
33%
38%
25%
40%
5
13
1
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 53%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 43%
- 2nd-serve points won 86%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 71%
- Break points converted 14%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
53%
58%
47%
65%
29%
57%
14%
40%
5
5
Set 2
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 73%
- Points won on return 50%
- 1st-serve points won 74%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
- Double faults 0
42%
50%
27%
50%
50%
26%
33%
0%
3
5
1
Set 3
- Points won 62%
- Points won on serve 70%
- Points won on return 55%
- 1st-serve points won 71%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 47%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 71%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
38%
45%
30%
53%
29%
29%
50%
0%
2
3
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.