Round of 16WomenOctober 8, 2026
Fernandez / Calvo v Escacena / Aguilar
Pre-match odds
Fernandez / Calvo
98%
Avg Elo 1995
Escacena / Aguilar
2%
Avg Elo 1640
Elo gap 355
Fernandez / Calvo delivered as 98% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Fernandez / CalvoEscacena / Aguilar
- Points won 30%
- Points won on serve 38%
- Points won on return 22%
- 1st-serve points won 41%
- 2nd-serve points won 25%
- Points won returning 1st serve 19%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 7
70%
78%
62%
81%
67%
59%
75%
62%
10
7
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 36%
- Points won on serve 50%
- Points won on return 19%
- 1st-serve points won 50%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 17%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
64%
81%
50%
83%
67%
50%
50%
67%
8
4
Set 2
- Points won 20%
- Points won on serve 14%
- Points won on return 25%
- 1st-serve points won 20%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 23%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 1
- Service games 3
80%
75%
86%
77%
67%
80%
100%
60%
6
3
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.