Round of 16WomenOctober 8, 2026
Rufo / Iglesias v Ortega / Araujo
Pre-match odds
Rufo / Iglesias
26%
Avg Elo 1737
Ortega / Araujo
74%
Avg Elo 1828
Elo gap 91
Ortega / Araujo delivered as 74% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Rufo / IglesiasOrtega / Araujo
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 69%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 38%
- Longest run of points 9
- Service games 10
46%
58%
32%
59%
40%
31%
50%
14%
5
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 71%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 71%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 42%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 5
46%
59%
29%
58%
67%
29%
33%
0%
4
5
Set 2
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 66%
- Points won on return 44%
- 1st-serve points won 68%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 40%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 9
- Service games 5
45%
56%
34%
60%
0%
32%
100%
17%
5
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.