The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenOctober 8, 2026

Talavan / Saiz v Gonzalez / Josemaria

Center Court01:13

Pre-match odds

Talavan / Saiz

3%

Avg Elo 1687

Gonzalez / Josemaria

97%

Avg Elo 1979

Elo gap 292

Gonzalez / Josemaria delivered as 97% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Talavan / SaizGonzalez / Josemaria

46%
Points won
54%
62%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
38%
65%
1st-serve points won
65%
33%
2nd-serve points won
100%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
50%
Break points converted
43%
8
Longest run of points
8
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

46%
Points won
54%
66%
Points won on serve
75%
25%
Points won on return
34%
67%
1st-serve points won
73%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
20%
5
Longest run of points
7
5
Service games
5

Set 2

47%
Points won
53%
58%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
42%
64%
1st-serve points won
57%
25%
2nd-serve points won
100%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
100%
Break points converted
100%
8
Longest run of points
8
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.