QuarterfinalWomenOctober 9, 2026
Brea / Triay v Jensen / Canovas
Pre-match odds
Brea / Triay
92%
Avg Elo 2011
Jensen / Canovas
8%
Avg Elo 1800
Elo gap 211
Brea / Triay delivered as 92% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Brea / TriayJensen / Canovas
- Points won 40%
- Points won on serve 43%
- Points won on return 37%
- 1st-serve points won 43%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 8
60%
63%
57%
65%
50%
57%
0%
46%
10
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 38%
- Points won on serve 39%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 39%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 4
62%
62%
61%
63%
60%
61%
0%
60%
10
5
Set 2
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 46%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 46%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
58%
64%
54%
67%
0%
54%
0%
38%
6
3
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.