SemifinalWomenOctober 10, 2026
Brea / Triay v Ustero / Sanchez
Pre-match odds
Brea / Triay
36%
Avg Elo 2015
Ustero / Sanchez
64%
Avg Elo 2065
Elo gap 50
Ustero / Sanchez delivered as 64% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Brea / TriayUstero / Sanchez
- Points won 50%
- Points won on serve 61%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 62%
- 2nd-serve points won 54%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 31%
- Break points converted 28%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 16
50%
59%
39%
57%
69%
38%
46%
50%
10
17
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 51%
- Points won on serve 66%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 68%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 6
49%
60%
34%
59%
67%
32%
100%
100%
10
6
Set 2
- Points won 46%
- Points won on serve 52%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 25%
- Points won returning 1st serve 44%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 17%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 4
54%
58%
48%
56%
75%
43%
75%
100%
5
5
Set 3
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 59%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
48%
59%
38%
57%
67%
41%
25%
20%
4
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.