SemifinalWomenOctober 10, 2026
Fernandez / Calvo v Gonzalez / Josemaria
Pre-match odds
Fernandez / Calvo
56%
Avg Elo 2004
Gonzalez / Josemaria
44%
Avg Elo 1984
Elo gap 20
Fernandez / Calvo delivered as 56% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Fernandez / CalvoGonzalez / Josemaria
- Points won 49%
- Points won on serve 66%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 55%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 32%
- Break points converted 38%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 17
51%
67%
34%
67%
68%
33%
45%
33%
6
17
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 30%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 43%
- Break points converted 25%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
53%
67%
38%
70%
57%
37%
50%
29%
5
5
Set 2
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 65%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 68%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 48%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 22%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 6
47%
58%
35%
52%
78%
32%
67%
50%
4
6
Set 3
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 70%
- Points won on return 24%
- 1st-serve points won 71%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 23%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
53%
76%
30%
77%
67%
29%
33%
0%
6
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.