FinalWomenOctober 11, 2026
Ustero / Sanchez v Fernandez / Calvo
Pre-match odds
Ustero / Sanchez
67%
Avg Elo 2071
Fernandez / Calvo
33%
Avg Elo 2011
Elo gap 60
Fernandez / Calvo won as slight underdogs (33%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Ustero / SanchezFernandez / Calvo
- Points won 62%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 54%
- 1st-serve points won 69%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 57%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 80%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 8
38%
46%
33%
43%
100%
31%
50%
0%
3
7
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 66%
- 2nd-serve points won 43%
- Points won returning 1st serve 40%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 5
46%
62%
38%
60%
100%
34%
57%
0%
3
4
Set 2
- Points won 77%
- Points won on serve 80%
- Points won on return 75%
- 1st-serve points won 79%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 80%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 3
23%
25%
20%
20%
100%
21%
0%
0%
2
3
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.