The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 10, 2026

Belluati / Abud v Axelsson / Ortega

Court 2 (Get Fit)

Pre-match odds

Belluati / Abud

32%

Avg Elo 1529

Axelsson / Ortega

68%

Avg Elo 1594

Elo gap 65

Axelsson / Ortega delivered as 68% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Belluati / AbudAxelsson / Ortega

40%
Points won
60%
49%
Points won on serve
70%
30%
Points won on return
51%
46%
1st-serve points won
70%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
54%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
56%
6
Longest run of points
7
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

38%
Points won
62%
52%
Points won on serve
77%
23%
Points won on return
48%
48%
1st-serve points won
80%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
20%
Points won returning 1st serve
52%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
4

Set 2

43%
Points won
57%
46%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
54%
44%
1st-serve points won
60%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
56%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
50%
6
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.