Round of 32MenOctober 10, 2026
Belluati / Abud v Axelsson / Ortega
Pre-match odds
Belluati / Abud
32%
Avg Elo 1529
Axelsson / Ortega
68%
Avg Elo 1594
Elo gap 65
Axelsson / Ortega delivered as 68% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Belluati / AbudAxelsson / Ortega
- Points won 60%
- Points won on serve 70%
- Points won on return 51%
- 1st-serve points won 70%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 54%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 56%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 8
40%
49%
30%
46%
100%
30%
33%
100%
6
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 62%
- Points won on serve 77%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 80%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 52%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
38%
52%
23%
48%
100%
20%
50%
0%
4
4
Set 2
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 54%
- 1st-serve points won 60%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 56%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 4
43%
46%
38%
44%
100%
40%
0%
100%
6
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.


