Round of 32MenOctober 10, 2026
Ronco / Lacamoire v Rutgersson / Nieto
Pre-match odds
Ronco / Lacamoire
70%
Avg Elo 1553
Rutgersson / Nieto
30%
Avg Elo 1478
Elo gap 75
Ronco / Lacamoire delivered as 70% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Ronco / LacamoireRutgersson / Nieto
- Points won 46%
- Points won on serve 54%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 56%
- 2nd-serve points won 38%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 43%
- Break points converted 25%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 9
54%
64%
46%
65%
57%
44%
62%
30%
6
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 52%
- Points won on return 37%
- 1st-serve points won 55%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
53%
63%
48%
62%
67%
45%
67%
29%
6
5
Set 2
- Points won 45%
- Points won on serve 57%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 58%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 4
55%
65%
43%
67%
50%
42%
50%
33%
5
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.