Round of 32MenOctober 10, 2026
Moya / Leygue v Castro / Morales
Pre-match odds
Moya / Leygue
88%
Avg Elo 1648
Castro / Morales
12%
Avg Elo 1475
Elo gap 173
Moya / Leygue delivered as 88% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Moya / LeygueCastro / Morales
- Points won 41%
- Points won on serve 47%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 54%
- 2nd-serve points won 11%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 20%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 8
- Double faults 0
59%
65%
53%
65%
67%
46%
89%
71%
8
9
1
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 52%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 52%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 39%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 17%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
58%
67%
48%
61%
100%
48%
50%
50%
6
5
Set 2
- Points won 40%
- Points won on serve 43%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 30%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 75%
- Break points converted 25%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 4
- Double faults 0
60%
62%
57%
70%
25%
43%
100%
100%
8
4
1
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.