Round of 32MenOctober 10, 2026
Casanova / Icardo v Reca / Tur Checa
Pre-match odds
UpsetCasanova / Icardo
75%
Avg Elo 1573
Reca / Tur Checa
25%
Avg Elo 1477
Elo gap 96
Reca / Tur Checa won with a 25% chance — about 1 in 4.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Casanova / IcardoReca / Tur Checa
- Points won 51%
- Points won on serve 66%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 65%
- 2nd-serve points won 73%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 43%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 15
- Double faults 1
49%
65%
34%
62%
100%
35%
27%
33%
5
15
0
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 6
- Double faults 1
46%
60%
36%
57%
100%
36%
33%
33%
5
6
0
Set 2
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
56%
67%
38%
63%
100%
37%
50%
50%
5
5
Set 3
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 71%
- Points won on return 30%
- 1st-serve points won 68%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 5
45%
70%
29%
67%
100%
32%
0%
0%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.