Round of 32MenOctober 10, 2026
Insa / Fuertes v Gutierrez / Oria
Pre-match odds
Insa / Fuertes
60%
Avg Elo 1547
Gutierrez / Oria
40%
Avg Elo 1513
Elo gap 34
Insa / Fuertes delivered as 60% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Insa / FuertesGutierrez / Oria
- Points won 45%
- Points won on serve 54%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 55%
- 2nd-serve points won 43%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 11
55%
67%
46%
67%
67%
45%
57%
23%
6
11
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 57%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 6
53%
68%
43%
68%
67%
43%
50%
12%
5
6
Set 2
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 49%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 50%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 5
58%
67%
51%
67%
0%
50%
67%
40%
6
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.