The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 11, 2026

Solano / Pereyra v Fino / Di Giovanni

Court 2 (Get Fit)

Pre-match odds

Solano / Pereyra

88%

Avg Elo 1678

Fino / Di Giovanni

12%

Avg Elo 1509

Elo gap 170

Solano / Pereyra delivered as 88% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Solano / PereyraFino / Di Giovanni

53%
Points won
47%
72%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
28%
69%
1st-serve points won
67%
88%
2nd-serve points won
40%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
31%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
12%
67%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
6
11
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

51%
Points won
49%
67%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
33%
66%
1st-serve points won
65%
75%
2nd-serve points won
50%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
100%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 2

59%
Points won
41%
80%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
20%
76%
1st-serve points won
70%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.