Round of 16MenOctober 11, 2026
Iriart / Salandro v Roglan / Aragon
Pre-match odds
Iriart / Salandro
30%
Avg Elo 1484
Roglan / Aragon
70%
Avg Elo 1558
Elo gap 74
Roglan / Aragon delivered as 70% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Iriart / SalandroRoglan / Aragon
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 66%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 57%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 46%
- Break points converted 38%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 16
47%
62%
34%
63%
54%
33%
43%
50%
6
15
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 69%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 73%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 6
47%
67%
31%
67%
67%
27%
60%
33%
5
6
Set 2
- Points won 48%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 70%
- 2nd-serve points won 57%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
52%
67%
33%
68%
60%
30%
43%
100%
6
5
Set 3
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 61%
- Points won on return 52%
- 1st-serve points won 59%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 48%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
43%
48%
39%
52%
0%
41%
0%
50%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.

