Round of 16MenOctober 11, 2026
Axelsson / Ortega v Oliver / Melero
Pre-match odds
Axelsson / Ortega
80%
Avg Elo 1611
Oliver / Melero
20%
Avg Elo 1493
Elo gap 118
Axelsson / Ortega delivered as 80% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Axelsson / OrtegaOliver / Melero
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 60%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 60%
- 2nd-serve points won 56%
- Points won returning 1st serve 34%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 27%
- Break points converted 38%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 15
53%
67%
40%
66%
73%
40%
44%
33%
8
16
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 5
47%
58%
36%
57%
100%
33%
100%
100%
7
5
Set 2
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 47%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 50%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 20%
- Break points converted 25%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 4
57%
62%
53%
59%
80%
50%
67%
25%
8
5
Set 3
- Points won 46%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 22%
- 1st-serve points won 65%
- 2nd-serve points won 73%
- Points won returning 1st serve 19%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
54%
78%
33%
81%
60%
35%
27%
0%
5
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.