The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 11, 2026

Ronco / Lacamoire v Ayats / Sanchez

Court 3 (Get Fit)

Pre-match odds

Ronco / Lacamoire

24%

Avg Elo 1566

Ayats / Sanchez

76%

Avg Elo 1665

Elo gap 99

Ayats / Sanchez delivered as 76% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Ronco / LacamoireAyats / Sanchez

48%
Points won
52%
63%
Points won on serve
66%
34%
Points won on return
37%
66%
1st-serve points won
67%
42%
2nd-serve points won
57%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
58%
33%
Break points converted
25%
7
Longest run of points
6
15
Service games
15
Stats by set

Set 1

43%
Points won
57%
67%
Points won on serve
75%
25%
Points won on return
33%
76%
1st-serve points won
78%
25%
2nd-serve points won
0%
22%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
0%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
5

Set 2

55%
Points won
45%
66%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
34%
69%
1st-serve points won
54%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
31%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
40%
Break points converted
14%
5
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 3

44%
Points won
56%
57%
Points won on serve
77%
23%
Points won on return
43%
58%
1st-serve points won
79%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
21%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
25%
4
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.