Round of 16MenOctober 11, 2026
Capra / Sanchez v Moya / Leygue
Pre-match odds
UpsetCapra / Sanchez
30%
Avg Elo 1579
Moya / Leygue
70%
Avg Elo 1654
Elo gap 75
Capra / Sanchez won with a 30% chance — about 1 in 3.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Capra / SanchezMoya / Leygue
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 57%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 59%
- 2nd-serve points won 42%
- Points won returning 1st serve 36%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 27%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 15
53%
65%
43%
64%
73%
41%
58%
29%
8
14
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 58%
- Points won on return 47%
- 1st-serve points won 59%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 5
45%
53%
42%
50%
100%
41%
50%
25%
6
4
Set 2
- Points won 40%
- Points won on serve 50%
- Points won on return 29%
- 1st-serve points won 52%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 29%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
60%
71%
50%
71%
67%
48%
100%
33%
6
4
Set 3
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 60%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 62%
- 2nd-serve points won 43%
- Points won returning 1st serve 34%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 29%
- Break points converted 14%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
53%
67%
40%
66%
71%
38%
57%
25%
8
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.