Round of 16MenOctober 11, 2026
Reca / Tur Checa v Romera / Gonzalez
Pre-match odds
Reca / Tur Checa
22%
Avg Elo 1497
Romera / Gonzalez
78%
Avg Elo 1607
Elo gap 111
Romera / Gonzalez delivered as 78% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Reca / Tur ChecaRomera / Gonzalez
- Points won 62%
- Points won on serve 71%
- Points won on return 51%
- 1st-serve points won 72%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 51%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 8
38%
49%
29%
49%
50%
28%
40%
0%
5
7
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 69%
- Points won on serve 73%
- Points won on return 62%
- 1st-serve points won 78%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 62%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 4
31%
38%
27%
38%
0%
22%
50%
0%
5
3
Set 2
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 69%
- Points won on return 47%
- 1st-serve points won 68%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 46%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 25%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 4
43%
53%
31%
54%
50%
32%
0%
0%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.