The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 11, 2026

Dal Bianco / Pineda v Dorta / Aliaga

Winner
6666
Court 3 (Get Fit)

Pre-match odds

Dal Bianco / Pineda

69%

Avg Elo 1610

Dorta / Aliaga

31%

Avg Elo 1541

Elo gap 69

Dal Bianco / Pineda delivered as 69% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Dal Bianco / PinedaDorta / Aliaga

55%
Points won
45%
74%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
26%
75%
1st-serve points won
63%
57%
2nd-serve points won
71%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
29%
Points won returning 2nd serve
43%
50%
Break points converted
50%
11
Longest run of points
4
16
Service games
15
Stats by set

Set 1

59%
Points won
41%
72%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
28%
74%
1st-serve points won
50%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
67%
Break points converted
100%
11
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Set 2

50%
Points won
50%
72%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
28%
74%
1st-serve points won
69%
60%
2nd-serve points won
67%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
0%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Set 3

58%
Points won
42%
78%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
22%
78%
1st-serve points won
67%
0%
2nd-serve points won
67%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
22%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.