The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 11, 2026

Insa / Fuertes v Perino / Dominguez

Court 2 (Get Fit)

Pre-match odds

Insa / Fuertes

52%

Avg Elo 1561

Perino / Dominguez

48%

Avg Elo 1555

Elo gap 6

Perino / Dominguez won a near coin flip (48%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Insa / FuertesPerino / Dominguez

45%
Points won
55%
59%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
41%
60%
1st-serve points won
69%
50%
2nd-serve points won
78%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
22%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
30%
5
Longest run of points
14
14
Service games
15
Stats by set

Set 1

47%
Points won
53%
68%
Points won on serve
70%
30%
Points won on return
32%
68%
1st-serve points won
69%
67%
2nd-serve points won
100%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
0%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
7
5
Service games
5

Set 2

50%
Points won
50%
61%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
39%
62%
1st-serve points won
60%
50%
2nd-serve points won
86%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
14%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 3

26%
Points won
74%
40%
Points won on serve
84%
16%
Points won on return
60%
43%
1st-serve points won
89%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
11%
Points won returning 1st serve
57%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
14
3
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.