Round of 16WomenOctober 11, 2026
Parmigiani / Kurz v Lopez / Fassio
Pre-match odds
Parmigiani / Kurz
17%
Avg Elo 1492
Lopez / Fassio
83%
Avg Elo 1630
Elo gap 138
Lopez / Fassio delivered as 83% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Parmigiani / KurzLopez / Fassio
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 44%
- 1st-serve points won 61%
- 2nd-serve points won 45%
- Points won returning 1st serve 44%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 46%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 15
- Double faults 1
48%
56%
41%
56%
54%
39%
55%
50%
6
15
0
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 45%
- Points won on serve 47%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 50%
- 2nd-serve points won 38%
- Points won returning 1st serve 42%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 6
- Double faults 1
55%
58%
53%
58%
60%
50%
62%
100%
6
6
0
Set 2
- Points won 51%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 43%
- 1st-serve points won 58%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
49%
57%
41%
57%
60%
42%
33%
100%
6
5
Set 3
- Points won 62%
- Points won on serve 78%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 78%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 46%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
38%
52%
22%
54%
33%
22%
0%
0%
3
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.