Round of 16WomenOctober 11, 2026
Livioni / Minelli v Lobo / Arellano
Pre-match odds
Livioni / Minelli
29%
Avg Elo 1445
Lobo / Arellano
71%
Avg Elo 1523
Elo gap 78
Lobo / Arellano delivered as 71% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Livioni / MinelliLobo / Arellano
- Points won 67%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 67%
- 1st-serve points won 72%
- 2nd-serve points won 56%
- Points won returning 1st serve 62%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 55%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 7
33%
33%
32%
38%
0%
28%
44%
17%
5
7
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 76%
- Points won on serve 74%
- Points won on return 80%
- 1st-serve points won 79%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 73%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 3
24%
20%
26%
27%
0%
21%
40%
0%
2
3
Set 2
- Points won 62%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 60%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 57%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 38%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
38%
40%
36%
43%
0%
33%
50%
33%
5
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.