QuarterfinalWomenOctober 12, 2026
Borrero / Navarro v Castillon / Vano
Pre-match odds
Borrero / Navarro
57%
Avg Elo 1595
Castillon / Vano
43%
Avg Elo 1570
Elo gap 25
Borrero / Navarro delivered as 57% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Borrero / NavarroCastillon / Vano
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 55%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 61%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 53%
- Break points converted 23%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 14
53%
60%
45%
63%
47%
39%
67%
60%
6
15
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 73%
- 2nd-serve points won 36%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 25%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
47%
58%
36%
59%
50%
27%
64%
33%
4
6
Set 2
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 55%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 20%
- Points won returning 1st serve 30%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 80%
- Break points converted 17%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 4
56%
62%
45%
70%
20%
33%
80%
100%
6
5
Set 3
- Points won 38%
- Points won on serve 38%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 37%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 40%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 4
62%
62%
62%
60%
75%
63%
60%
60%
5
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.